How do I trade on "Pete Fry wins Vancouver mayor?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Pete Fry wins Vancouver mayor?

OPEN · Closes Oct 20, 2026, 06:59 UTC

Last trade 65%

How a market resolves

1
Trade
Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.
2
Close
Trading stops and the creator posts the result. A market that follows a source market settles exactly as its source does.
3
Result posted
The result comes from the market's named source. A rarely used final review handles any problem before it becomes final.
4
Settled
The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

Full resolution rules

Price History

Spread: 0.03Mid 0.645

Amount (PM)—available

If correct: --
Average price: --
Fee: --

Resolution rules

How this market resolves

1
Resolution criteria
Resolves Yes if Pete Fry wins Vancouver mayor in the 2026 election; otherwise No. Official election results determine the outcome.

Insights

Researched 0 hours ago · 2 sources checked

What decides this market?
Resolves Yes if Pete Fry wins the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election; otherwise No. Official election results decide it.
What's happened lately?
2026-10-17: Election day is Saturday, Oct 17, 2026 (Daily Hive / search summary). This is before trading ends on Oct 20. researchco.ca
2026-10-07: Candidates reported: Ken Sim (ABC, incumbent), Pete Fry (Green), Colleen Hardwick (TEAM), Rebecca Bligh (Vote Vancouver), Muhammad Ahmad (Bright Future), Kareem Allam (Vancouver Liberals), and two independents (Daily Hive ballot-order article via search). I did not verify the final fiel… researchco.ca
2026-08-04: Research Co. poll, decided voters: Sim 30%, Allam 19%, Fry 19%, Hardwick 14%. Fry's favourability was 45%, the highest of any candidate. Sample size, field dates, undecided share and methodology were not retrieved. The release is at researchco.ca, titled '1/3 of the Vote Could Suffice'.… researchco.ca · prediction.com
2026-10-08: 2026-07: A Daily Hive survey piece covers Sim's support by housing tenure and Fry's standing. A Prediction Hunt headline on 2026-07-24 says 'Pete Fry drops to 18%'. I could not confirm whether that figure is market odds or poll support. researchco.ca · prediction.com
2026-09-08: A Prediction Hunt headline reads 'COPE withdrawal backfires, Ken Sim hits 50' (probably market odds). The headline suggests COPE withdrew a candidacy. I did not check the details or whether it affects Fry. Treat it as unverified. researchco.ca · prediction.com
What would change it?
Election day, 2026-10-17; official results follow.
What's the case for YES, and for NO?
YES:
NO:

Research, not advice.

Pete Fry wins Vancouver mayor?

OPEN · Closes Oct 20, 2026, 06:59 UTC

Last trade 65%

How a market resolves

1
Trade
Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.
2
Close
Trading stops and the creator posts the result. A market that follows a source market settles exactly as its source does.
3
Result posted
The result comes from the market's named source. A rarely used final review handles any problem before it becomes final.
4
Settled
The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

Full resolution rules

Price History

Spread: 0.03Mid 0.645

Amount (PM)—available

If correct: --
Average price: --
Fee: --

Resolution rules

How this market resolves

1
Resolution criteria
Resolves Yes if Pete Fry wins Vancouver mayor in the 2026 election; otherwise No. Official election results determine the outcome.

Insights

Researched 0 hours ago · 2 sources checked

What decides this market?
Resolves Yes if Pete Fry wins the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election; otherwise No. Official election results decide it.
What's happened lately?
2026-10-17: Election day is Saturday, Oct 17, 2026 (Daily Hive / search summary). This is before trading ends on Oct 20. researchco.ca
2026-10-07: Candidates reported: Ken Sim (ABC, incumbent), Pete Fry (Green), Colleen Hardwick (TEAM), Rebecca Bligh (Vote Vancouver), Muhammad Ahmad (Bright Future), Kareem Allam (Vancouver Liberals), and two independents (Daily Hive ballot-order article via search). I did not verify the final fiel… researchco.ca
2026-08-04: Research Co. poll, decided voters: Sim 30%, Allam 19%, Fry 19%, Hardwick 14%. Fry's favourability was 45%, the highest of any candidate. Sample size, field dates, undecided share and methodology were not retrieved. The release is at researchco.ca, titled '1/3 of the Vote Could Suffice'.… researchco.ca · prediction.com
2026-10-08: 2026-07: A Daily Hive survey piece covers Sim's support by housing tenure and Fry's standing. A Prediction Hunt headline on 2026-07-24 says 'Pete Fry drops to 18%'. I could not confirm whether that figure is market odds or poll support. researchco.ca · prediction.com
2026-09-08: A Prediction Hunt headline reads 'COPE withdrawal backfires, Ken Sim hits 50' (probably market odds). The headline suggests COPE withdrew a candidacy. I did not check the details or whether it affects Fry. Treat it as unverified. researchco.ca · prediction.com
What would change it?
Election day, 2026-10-17; official results follow.
What's the case for YES, and for NO?
YES:
NO:

Research, not advice.

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