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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?19:00 UTC

Biggest moves today

  • -40%Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?
  • -30%Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?
  • -28%Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Elections

  • Democrats win Michigan governor?29dYes94%
  • Democrats win NJ-07?29dYes90%
  • Democrats win New Hampshire Senate election?29dYes89%
  • Democrats win Nevada governor?29dYes56%

Elections

  • Ken Sim wins Vancouver mayor?12dYes33%
  • Pete Fry wins Vancouver mayor?12dYes66%
  • Kareem Allam wins Vancouver mayor?12dYes<1%
  • Brad Bradford wins Toronto mayor?21dYes18%

Closing soon

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?16:00 UTCYes17%
  • Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?16:00 UTCUp1%
  • Ethereum Up or Down on October 7?16:00 UTCUp<1%
  • Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET16:00 UTCUp41%
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET16:00 UTCUp30%
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Total Vol: 3K PMCloses in 85d

Will OpenAI go public by December 31, 2026?

OPEN · Closes Jan 4, 2027, 04:59 UTC

Last trade 4%

How a market resolves
  1. 1

    Trade

    Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.

  2. 2

    Close

    Trading stops and the creator posts the result. A market that follows a source market settles exactly as its source does.

  3. 3

    Result posted

    The result comes from the market's named source. A rarely used final review handles any problem before it becomes final.

  4. 4

    Settled

    The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

Full resolution rules

Price History

Order book

—available
If correct
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Average price
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Fee
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Resolution rules

How this market resolves

  • 1
    Resolution criteria

    Resolves Yes if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (its first sale of stock to the public on a recognized stock exchange) by December 31, 2026 ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Resolves No immediately if OpenAI is acquired by a company that is already public. Otherwise No. Resolution: the outcome is the common consensus of major outlets reporting on this event. Outcome 1 ("Yes") resolves if the reported outcome is "Yes", and outcome 2 ("No") if it is "No". Trading closes Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC. If that consensus is absent, ambiguous, or reports the event as void or 50/50, this market resolves VOID and stakes are returned. If no clean, final, undisputed outcome is available by this market's resolution deadline, the outcome is determined by Problee's community resolution process.Follows Polymarket ↗

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