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Next verdict

Ethereum Up or Down on October 8?19:00 UTC

Biggest moves today

  • -50%Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
  • -49%Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
  • +44%Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?

Elections

  • Democrats win Michigan governor?28dYes94%
  • Democrats win NJ-07?28dYes90%
  • Democrats win New Hampshire Senate election?28dYes90%
  • Democrats win PA-07?28dYes84%

Elections

  • Ken Sim wins Vancouver mayor?11dYes33%
  • Pete Fry wins Vancouver mayor?11dYes62%
  • Kareem Allam wins Vancouver mayor?11dYes<1%
  • Brad Bradford wins Toronto mayor?20dYes30%

Closing soon

  • Ethereum Up or Down on October 8?22mUp<1%
  • Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?22mUp<1%
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8?22mYes<1%
  • Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 8?22mYes<1%
  • Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET22mUp1%
All 282 open markets

 

 

 

 

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Total Vol: 38.9 PMCloses in 20d

Olivia Chow wins Toronto mayor?

OPEN · Closes Oct 29, 2026, 03:59 UTC

Last trade 89%

How a market resolves
  1. 1

    Trade

    Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.

  2. 2

    Close

    Trading stops and the creator posts the result. A market that follows a source market settles exactly as its source does.

  3. 3

    Result posted

    The result comes from the market's named source. A rarely used final review handles any problem before it becomes final.

  4. 4

    Settled

    The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

Full resolution rules

Price History

PriceSharesTotal (PM)
Spread: 0.01Mid 0.695
—available
If correct
--
Average price
--
Fee
--

Resolution rules

How this market resolves

  • 1
    Resolution criteria

    Resolves Yes if Olivia Chow wins Toronto mayor in the 2026 election; otherwise No. Official election results determine the outcome.

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