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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET23:00 UTC

Biggest moves today

  • +49%Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
  • +49%Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
  • +48%Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?

Elections

  • Democrats win Michigan governor?28dYes94%
  • Democrats win NJ-07?28dYes90%
  • Democrats win New Hampshire Senate election?28dYes90%
  • Democrats win PA-07?28dYes86%

Elections

  • Ken Sim wins Vancouver mayor?11dYes33%
  • Pete Fry wins Vancouver mayor?11dYes65%
  • Kareem Allam wins Vancouver mayor?11dYes<1%
  • Brad Bradford wins Toronto mayor?20dYes28%

Closing soon

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET20mUp99%
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  • S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 8?20mUp2%
  • Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $540 on October 8?20mYes1%
  • Predators vs. Canadiens23:00 UTCPredators40%
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Closes in 28d

Democrats win Ohio governor?

Amy Acton · Democratic nominee

OPEN · Closes Nov 6, 2026, 04:59 UTC

Opening price · no trades yet

How a market resolves
  1. 1

    Trade

    Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.

  2. 2

    Close

    Trading stops and the creator posts the result. A market that follows a source market settles exactly as its source does.

  3. 3

    Result posted

    The result comes from the market's named source. A rarely used final review handles any problem before it becomes final.

  4. 4

    Settled

    The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

Full resolution rules

Price History

PriceSharesTotal (PM)
Spread: 0.01Mid 0.685
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Average price
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Resolution rules

How this market resolves

  • 1
    Resolution criteria

    Resolves Yes if Democrats win Ohio governor in the 2026 election; otherwise No. Official election results determine the outcome.

Insights

Researched 1 hour ago · 1 source checked

  • 1
    What decides this market?

    Resolves Yes if the Democratic candidate wins the 2026 Ohio governor election (Nov 3, 2026), per official results. Otherwise No.

  • 2
    What's happened lately?

    2026-10-07: Amy Acton (D) and Vivek Ramaswamy (R) are the nominees. Don Kissick (L) is also on the ballot. politicalwire.com

    2026-10-07: 2026-09 (late): A USA TODAY Ohio Network/Suffolk poll had Acton 50%, Ramaswamy 41%, Kissick 3%. politicalwire.com

    2026-10-07: 2026-09 (1–10): A BGSU poll of 1,000 likely voters had Acton 48%, Ramaswamy 45%. It was described as a statistical tie. politicalwire.com

    2026-10-07: An AARP (Fabrizio/Impact) poll had Acton 47%, Ramaswamy 44%. The date is not stated. politicalwire.com

    2026-09-29: Political Wire reported that Acton leads Ramaswamy. politicalwire.com

  • 3
    What would change it?

    General election, 2026-11-03

  • 4
    What's the case for YES, and for NO?

    YES:

    NO:

Research, not advice.

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