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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET23:00 UTC

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  • Democrats win Michigan governor?28dYes94%
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Closes in 28d

Democrats win Iowa governor?

Rob Sand · Democratic nominee

OPEN · Closes Nov 6, 2026, 05:59 UTC

Opening price · no trades yet

How a market resolves
  1. 1

    Trade

    Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.

  2. 2

    Close

    Trading stops and the creator posts the result. A market that follows a source market settles exactly as its source does.

  3. 3

    Result posted

    The result comes from the market's named source. A rarely used final review handles any problem before it becomes final.

  4. 4

    Settled

    The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

Full resolution rules

Price History

PriceSharesTotal (PM)
Spread: 0.01Mid 0.865
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Resolution rules

How this market resolves

  • 1
    Resolution criteria

    Resolves Yes if Democrats win Iowa governor in the 2026 election; otherwise No. Official election results determine the outcome.

Insights

Researched 1 hour ago · 2 sources checked

  • 1
    What decides this market?

    Resolves Yes if a Democrat wins the 2026 Iowa governor election. Official election results decide it.

  • 2
    What's happened lately?

    2026-10-07: 2026-06: Rob Sand (D) will face Republican farmer Zach Lahn in November. Lahn beat Rep. Randy Feenstra in the GOP primary despite Trump's late endorsement of Feenstra (search summary of news reports). www.newsweek.com

    2026-10-07: Cook Political Report rates the race Toss-Up (date not given in the result I saw). www.cookpolitical.com · www.newsweek.com

    2026-10-07: 2025-10: Early polls had Sand ahead. Z to A Research showed Sand 45%, with Feenstra 2 points behind. Echelon Insights showed Sand 51%, Feenstra 39%. Both polls were taken before the primary, so they don't cover Lahn. www.cookpolitical.com · www.newsweek.com

  • 3
    What would change it?

    General election, 2026-11-03

  • 4
    What's the case for YES, and for NO?

    YES:

    NO:

Research, not advice.

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