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Next verdict

Ethereum Up or Down on October 8?19:00 UTC

Biggest moves today

  • -36%Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on October 8?
  • -35%Ethereum Up or Down on October 8?
  • -30%Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 9?

Elections

  • Democrats win Michigan governor?28dYes94%
  • Democrats win NJ-07?28dYes90%
  • Democrats win New Hampshire Senate election?28dYes90%
  • Democrats win PA-07?28dYes86%

Elections

  • Ken Sim wins Vancouver mayor?11dYes33%
  • Pete Fry wins Vancouver mayor?11dYes62%
  • Kareem Allam wins Vancouver mayor?11dYes<1%
  • Brad Bradford wins Toronto mayor?20dYes23%

Closing soon

  • Ethereum Up or Down on October 8?16:00 UTCUp3%
  • Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?16:00 UTCUp5%
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8?16:00 UTCYes1%
  • Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 8?16:00 UTCYes<1%
  • Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET16:00 UTCUp33%
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Closes in 53d

Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?

OPEN · Closes Dec 2, 2026, 04:59 UTC

Opening price · no trades yet

How a market resolves
  1. 1

    Trade

    Buy and sell shares while the market is open. Prices show what the crowd expects.

  2. 2

    Close

    Trading stops and the creator posts the result. A market that follows a source market settles exactly as its source does.

  3. 3

    Result posted

    The result comes from the market's named source. A rarely used final review handles any problem before it becomes final.

  4. 4

    Settled

    The result is finalised and every winning share pays out. Anything left unresolved is reviewed first.

Full resolution rules

Price History

PriceSharesTotal (PM)
Spread: 0.07Mid 0.465
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Resolution rules

How this market resolves

  • 1
    Resolution criteria

    Resolves to the official outcome of this event: outcome 1 is "Yes" and outcome 2 is "No". Resolution: the outcome is the common consensus of major outlets reporting on this event. Outcome 1 ("Yes") resolves if the reported outcome is "Yes", and outcome 2 ("No") if it is "No". Trading closes Dec 1, 2026, 04:59 UTC. If that consensus is absent, ambiguous, or reports the event as void or 50/50, this market resolves VOID and stakes are returned. If no clean, final, undisputed outcome is available by this market's resolution deadline, the outcome is determined by Problee's community resolution process.Follows Polymarket ↗

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